Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 12-0
Sparta Praha vs Spora Luxembourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.3%
Win probability
3.48
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.6%
6-0
3.9%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.4%
5-0
6.8%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.9%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.2%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.8%
7.9%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.9%
3.7%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sparta Praha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1980 |
SPO
0 - 6
SPA
21%
21%
58%
|
81 | 54 | 27 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1976 |
SPA
1 - 1
MTK
68%
18%
14%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1976 |
MTK
3 - 1
SPA
55%
22%
23%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 1973 |
SPA
0 - 1
ACM
34%
24%
42%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1973 |
ACM
1 - 0
SPA
87%
9%
5%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Spora Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1980 |
SPO
0 - 6
SPA
21%
21%
58%
|
54 | 81 | 27 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1967 |
LEE
7 - 0
SPO
83%
11%
6%
|
54 | 87 | 33 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1967 |
SPO
0 - 9
LEE
28%
27%
45%
|
55 | 87 | 32 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 1966 |
SPO
1 - 4
SHR
45%
21%
34%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1966 |
SHR
4 - 1
SPO
66%
17%
17%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | -1 |