Europa League 1/32
Global 4-3
Sparta Praha vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
37.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sparta Praha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1981 |
SPA
3 - 2
NEX
65%
19%
16%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1981 |
NEX
4 - 0
SPA
49%
24%
27%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 1980 |
SSO
3 - 0
SPA
55%
22%
23%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 1980 |
SPA
2 - 0
SSO
70%
17%
13%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 1980 |
SPA
6 - 0
SPO
88%
8%
4%
|
81 | 53 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1983 |
MAL
6 - 2
RMA
26%
27%
47%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1983 |
RMA
2 - 0
BET
79%
13%
7%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1983 |
FCB
2 - 1
RMA
62%
22%
16%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1983 |
RMA
2 - 2
FCB
62%
21%
16%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1983 |
RMA
5 - 3
ZAR
77%
16%
8%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |