Europa League 1/32
Global 3-6
Sparta Praha vs Neuchâtel Xamax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
16.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sparta Praha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1981 |
NEX
4 - 0
SPA
49%
24%
27%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1980 |
SSO
3 - 0
SPA
55%
22%
23%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 1980 |
SPA
2 - 0
SSO
70%
17%
13%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 1980 |
SPA
6 - 0
SPO
88%
8%
4%
|
81 | 53 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1980 |
SPO
0 - 6
SPA
21%
21%
58%
|
81 | 54 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1981 |
STG
0 - 1
NEX
53%
24%
23%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1981 |
NEX
0 - 0
GCZ
38%
27%
35%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1981 |
NEX
4 - 0
SPA
49%
24%
27%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1981 |
BEL
1 - 0
NEX
31%
26%
43%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1981 |
NEX
2 - 0
LAU
56%
24%
20%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |