Champions League Last 16
Global 1-4
Sparta Praha vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
39.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sparta Praha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
SPA
0 - 0
PRI
66%
21%
13%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
OPA
3 - 4
SPA
27%
26%
48%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2003 |
SPA
1 - 0
LAZ
24%
24%
52%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
SPA
3 - 0
TEP
55%
24%
21%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2003 |
CHL
0 - 0
SPA
74%
17%
9%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
ACM
3 - 2
INT
53%
24%
23%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
LEC
1 - 1
ACM
18%
26%
56%
|
91 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2004 |
LAZ
4 - 0
ACM
47%
26%
27%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
ACM
2 - 1
PRG
70%
18%
11%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2004 |
ACM
1 - 2
LAZ
61%
23%
17%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |