Qualif. Champions Tercera ronda Final
Global 4-4
Sparta Praha vs Genk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
20.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sparta Praha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2002 |
SPA
3 - 0
80%
13%
8%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2002 |
GNK
2 - 0
SPA
49%
24%
28%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2002 |
SPA
3 - 0
BAN
69%
19%
13%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2002 |
FTK
1 - 2
SPA
39%
26%
35%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2002 |
ESK
1 - 3
SPA
27%
25%
48%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Genk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
ANT
2 - 4
GNK
24%
24%
52%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2002 |
GNK
2 - 0
SPA
49%
24%
28%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2002 |
GNK
2 - 3
LOK
62%
20%
18%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2002 |
GNK
0 - 2
BRU
24%
22%
54%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
GNK
3 - 3
LOK
61%
21%
18%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |