Champions League Quarter-finals
Global 4-6
Sparta Praha vs Partizan Belgrade analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
20.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sparta Praha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1965 |
GÓR
1 - 2
SPA
49%
22%
28%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1965 |
SPA
3 - 0
GÓR
65%
18%
17%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1965 |
SPA
4 - 0
LAU
72%
16%
13%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 1965 |
LAU
0 - 0
SPA
45%
23%
33%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1964 |
SPA
2 - 1
WHU
57%
20%
22%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Partizan Belgrade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1965 |
BRE
1 - 0
PAR
65%
18%
17%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1965 |
PAR
3 - 0
BRE
48%
22%
30%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1965 |
NAN
2 - 2
PAR
62%
19%
19%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1965 |
PAR
2 - 0
NAN
58%
21%
21%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 1964 |
INT
2 - 1
PAR
68%
18%
14%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |