Qualif. Champions Tercera fase Final
Global 0-5
Sparta Praha vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
51%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sparta Praha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
VKP
0 - 0
SPA
29%
28%
43%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2007 |
SPA
1 - 0
SLI
54%
25%
20%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2007 |
SPA
5 - 0
MOS
67%
21%
12%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2007 |
JAB
1 - 2
SPA
25%
26%
49%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2007 |
SIG
0 - 2
SPA
31%
28%
41%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2007 |
ARS
2 - 1
FUL
75%
16%
9%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2007 |
ARS
2 - 1
PSG
77%
16%
7%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2007 |
ARS
2 - 1
INT
51%
24%
25%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
OPA
0 - 0
ARS
21%
26%
53%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
ARS
1 - 1
CHL
42%
27%
32%
|
93 | 96 | 3 | 0 |