Qualif. Champions Segunda ronda Final
Global 4-3
Sparta Praha vs APOEL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
25.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sparta Praha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2004 |
APO
2 - 2
SPA
45%
26%
29%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2004 |
SPA
2 - 1
BAN
47%
24%
29%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
SPA
2 - 1
JAB
64%
23%
14%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2004 |
SPA
1 - 0
SLI
52%
26%
22%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
BAN
1 - 2
SPA
45%
26%
29%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
APOEL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2004 |
APO
2 - 2
SPA
45%
26%
29%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
APO
2 - 1
ETH
69%
20%
12%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
APO
1 - 2
OMO
45%
24%
31%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
ANA
0 - 1
APO
4%
15%
81%
|
81 | 51 | 30 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
APO
2 - 1
ENO
69%
19%
12%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |