Qualif. Champions Semi-finals
Global 2-1
Sparta Praha vs AIK Solna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
11.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sparta Praha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1993 |
SPA
2 - 0
SLI
71%
17%
12%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1993 |
SLP
1 - 1
SPA
44%
24%
32%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1993 |
AIK
1 - 0
SPA
49%
24%
28%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1993 |
SPA
4 - 0
VIT
81%
12%
7%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1993 |
DUK
2 - 6
SPA
44%
25%
31%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
AIK Solna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1993 |
IKB
2 - 1
AIK
25%
29%
46%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1993 |
AIK
1 - 2
ORG
70%
19%
11%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1993 |
AIK
1 - 0
SPA
49%
24%
28%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1993 |
MFF
2 - 0
AIK
38%
29%
34%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1993 |
AIK
3 - 2
OIF
50%
24%
26%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |