Sparta Petegem vs Torhout analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
36.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+53%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
6º
16º
6º
8
3º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
8 | 58 |
1º
|
24.5% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 57 |
2º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
8 | 52 |
3º
|
9.5% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 51 |
4º
|
10.5% | |
|
1º
|
10 | 49 |
5º
|
10% | |
|
|
14º
|
3 | 45 |
6º
|
8% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 45 |
7º
|
6% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 43 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 43 |
9º
|
7.5% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 41 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
15º
|
2 | 41 |
11º
|
8% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 34 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 33 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 30 |
14º
|
18.5% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 28 |
15º
|
21% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 19 |
16º
|
60% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
5% | 11% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
31.5% | 49.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
57.5% | 39% |
|
Relegation
|
6% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sparta Petegem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
APP
1 - 2
SPA
50%
22%
28%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
SPA
1 - 2
DIK
31%
25%
44%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
SPA
1 - 3
ZUL
7%
13%
80%
|
46 | 75 | 29 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
ZEL
5 - 0
SPA
44%
22%
34%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
SPA
1 - 2
OOS
42%
23%
35%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Torhout
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
TOR
4 - 2
RCL
61%
21%
19%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
GUL
3 - 4
TOR
46%
25%
30%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
TOR
1 - 1
GEN
54%
22%
24%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
OLS
1 - 1
TOR
29%
24%
47%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
TOR
0 - 1
RMO
76%
15%
9%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | 0 |