Sparta Petegem vs Torhout analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
36.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
8º
16º
9º
18
5º
15º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 63 |
1º
|
63.5% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 58 |
2º
|
30.5% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 58 |
3º
|
29% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 55 |
4º
|
24.5% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 47 |
5º
|
27% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 46 |
6º
|
23% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 46 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 45 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 40 |
9º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 37 |
10º
|
21.5% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 36 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 32 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 29 |
13º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
18 | 29 |
14º
|
18.5% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 29 |
15º
|
24% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 24 |
16º
|
48.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
7% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
90.5% | 45% |
|
Relegation
|
2.5% | 55% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sparta Petegem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
APP
1 - 2
SPA
50%
22%
28%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
SPA
1 - 2
DIK
31%
25%
44%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
SPA
1 - 3
ZUL
7%
13%
80%
|
47 | 76 | 29 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
ZEL
5 - 0
SPA
44%
22%
34%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -2 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
SPA
1 - 2
OOS
42%
23%
35%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Torhout
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
TOR
4 - 2
RCL
61%
21%
19%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
GUL
3 - 4
TOR
46%
25%
30%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
TOR
1 - 1
GEN
54%
22%
24%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
OLS
1 - 1
TOR
29%
24%
47%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
TOR
0 - 1
RMO
76%
15%
9%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |