Sparta Petegem vs Merelbeke analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.7%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.8%
5.5%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-46%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
1º
16º
2º
53
3º
17º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 58 |
3º
|
75% | |
|
|
5º
|
53 | 56 |
4º
|
41.5% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 54 |
5º
|
49.5% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 53 |
6º
|
41% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 52 |
7º
|
44% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
8º
|
55.5% | |
|
9º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
58.5% | |
|
10º
|
49 | 49 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
41 | 44 |
11º
|
21.5% | |
|
14º
|
41 | 44 |
12º
|
31% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 42 |
13º
|
23.5% | |
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
14º
|
21.5% | |
|
15º
|
38 | 38 |
15º
|
71.5% | |
|
16º
|
35 | 36 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
32 | 32 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
9 | 9 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 88.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 11.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sparta Petegem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
OOS
4 - 2
SPA
35%
24%
41%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
SPA
2 - 4
RAC
77%
15%
9%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
FEN
0 - 2
SPA
7%
12%
81%
|
56 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
RUM
0 - 3
SPA
8%
15%
76%
|
56 | 33 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
DEI
8 - 1
SPA
68%
18%
14%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Merelbeke
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
MER
2 - 2
KSC
23%
24%
53%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
FBO
2 - 0
MER
53%
23%
24%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -2 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
FCD
1 - 2
MER
11%
16%
74%
|
42 | 13 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
OLS
3 - 1
MER
65%
19%
15%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
MER
3 - 2
SPO
42%
26%
32%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +1 |