Sparta Petegem vs KRC Gent analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
28.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-48%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
8º
16º
9º
12
13º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 63 |
1º
|
63.5% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 58 |
2º
|
30.5% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 58 |
3º
|
29% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 55 |
4º
|
24.5% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 47 |
5º
|
27% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 46 |
6º
|
23% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 46 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 45 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 40 |
9º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 37 |
10º
|
21.5% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 36 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 32 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 29 |
13º
|
17.5% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 29 |
14º
|
18.5% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 29 |
15º
|
24% | |
|
|
16º
|
12 | 24 |
16º
|
48.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
7% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
90.5% | 19.5% |
|
Relegation
|
2.5% | 80.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sparta Petegem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
ROD
2 - 0
SPA
46%
25%
30%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
SPA
0 - 0
RCL
44%
23%
33%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
OLS
2 - 1
SPA
32%
23%
46%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
SPA
3 - 2
KVC
80%
13%
8%
|
48 | 19 | 29 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
SPO
2 - 2
SPA
47%
24%
29%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
KRC Gent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
GEN
3 - 3
DIK
28%
24%
48%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
GEN
0 - 1
OLS
55%
22%
24%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
ROD
1 - 2
GEN
53%
25%
23%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
GEN
3 - 3
RCL
39%
24%
37%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
GUL
5 - 0
GEN
44%
24%
33%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -2 |