Sparta Nijkerk vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
62.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sparta Nijkerk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2012 |
SPA
2 - 4
SPO
59%
21%
21%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
HAR
0 - 0
SPA
44%
23%
33%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2012 |
HUI
1 - 0
SPA
17%
20%
63%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
SPA
6 - 0
VVO
70%
18%
12%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2012 |
SPA
4 - 1
BEN
68%
18%
13%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
ALM
1 - 0
GRA
30%
25%
45%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
GRA
1 - 1
MVV
45%
25%
30%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2012 |
GRA
2 - 5
HEL
35%
26%
39%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2012 |
GAE
2 - 2
GRA
62%
22%
17%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
GRA
2 - 0
EXC
55%
23%
22%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |