Sparta Nijkerk vs PEC Zwolle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.3%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
64.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sparta Nijkerk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
SPA
2 - 3
SPA
34%
25%
41%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
LRC
1 - 3
SPA
40%
24%
36%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +2 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
SPA
2 - 0
ZWA
52%
23%
25%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
SCH
1 - 3
SPA
21%
22%
57%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
DOV
2 - 0
SPA
31%
25%
44%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -3 |
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
ZWO
1 - 0
GAE
50%
24%
25%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2009 |
RBC
0 - 0
ZWO
30%
26%
45%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
ZWO
2 - 2
GRA
50%
25%
25%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2009 |
VOL
0 - 3
ZWO
57%
23%
20%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +2 |
| 24 Aug. 2009 |
ZWO
3 - 5
FCD
46%
26%
29%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |