SPAL vs Vis Pesaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
16.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
15.2%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
MAR
3 - 2
SPA
41%
28%
31%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
SPA
0 - 0
RIM
34%
28%
38%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2005 |
SOR
0 - 0
SPA
34%
31%
35%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2005 |
AVE
1 - 2
SPA
58%
24%
17%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
SPA
2 - 1
REG
41%
27%
31%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Vis Pesaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
VIS
0 - 1
AVE
27%
29%
44%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
TER
1 - 0
VIS
66%
21%
13%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2005 |
VIS
1 - 1
NAP
26%
29%
45%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2005 |
VIS
1 - 0
USF
27%
28%
46%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2004 |
VIR
1 - 0
VIS
61%
24%
15%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |