SPAL vs Venezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.6%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
23.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
PAD
0 - 0
SPA
56%
24%
20%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
SPA
1 - 0
PRO
45%
28%
27%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
POR
2 - 0
SPA
37%
28%
35%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
SPA
0 - 1
ACL
51%
27%
22%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
SPA
2 - 0
REG
36%
29%
35%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Venezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
VNZ
2 - 0
UNI
44%
28%
29%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
VNZ
3 - 1
NOV
38%
29%
33%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +2 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
ACL
0 - 0
VNZ
51%
27%
22%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
VNZ
0 - 1
PAD
35%
28%
37%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
PRO
3 - 0
VNZ
58%
25%
18%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |