SPAL vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
25.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1959 |
JUV
1 - 1
SPA
78%
13%
9%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1959 |
BAR
2 - 1
SPA
42%
26%
32%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 1959 |
GEN
0 - 3
SPA
67%
19%
15%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 1959 |
SPA
0 - 0
VIC
45%
25%
30%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1959 |
SPA
3 - 0
TOR
47%
25%
28%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1959 |
TRI
2 - 2
ACM
22%
22%
56%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1959 |
TRI
2 - 4
PAD
42%
26%
32%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1959 |
VIC
5 - 4
TRI
59%
22%
20%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 1959 |
TRI
0 - 3
JUV
26%
24%
50%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1959 |
TRI
0 - 0
BAR
56%
23%
22%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |