SPAL vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
22.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1953 |
PAL
1 - 0
SPA
52%
23%
25%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1953 |
SPA
1 - 1
FIO
47%
26%
28%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 1953 |
LAZ
2 - 1
SPA
59%
21%
20%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 1953 |
SPA
1 - 3
JUV
26%
24%
51%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1953 |
SPA
3 - 2
ATL
52%
23%
25%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1953 |
TRI
1 - 1
LAZ
48%
24%
28%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1953 |
ATL
4 - 2
TRI
56%
22%
22%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 1953 |
TRI
2 - 1
SAM
49%
24%
27%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 1953 |
FIO
1 - 0
TRI
58%
22%
20%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 1953 |
TRI
2 - 1
TOR
44%
24%
33%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |