SPAL vs Pro Vercelli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
14.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
SPE
0 - 0
SPA
41%
28%
31%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2017 |
SPA
2 - 1
CTT
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
LAT
1 - 2
SPA
26%
29%
45%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
SPA
2 - 1
TRA
50%
25%
25%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
BRE
1 - 3
SPA
36%
28%
37%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Pro Vercelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
LEO
0 - 1
PRG
34%
30%
36%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2017 |
PIS
1 - 1
LEO
34%
31%
35%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
LEO
0 - 0
SAL
39%
29%
31%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
VIC
0 - 1
LEO
41%
29%
30%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
LEO
1 - 0
ACD
34%
29%
37%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |