SPAL vs Cremonese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
27.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
ASS
2 - 1
SPA
27%
26%
48%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2010 |
RAV
1 - 1
SPA
36%
27%
37%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
SPA
1 - 0
BV5
72%
20%
8%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
COM
2 - 3
SPA
23%
26%
51%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
SPA
1 - 1
USA
54%
26%
20%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2011 |
USC
1 - 1
USA
56%
24%
20%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
ASG
1 - 0
USC
26%
27%
47%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
USC
0 - 0
SOR
50%
25%
25%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
BV5
0 - 0
USC
25%
25%
50%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
USC
1 - 1
PER
66%
21%
13%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |