SPAL vs Cremonese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
19.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1999 |
ALZ
0 - 1
SPA
48%
24%
28%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1999 |
RAV
2 - 1
SPA
67%
21%
13%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1999 |
SPA
2 - 1
RAV
33%
26%
41%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 1999 |
VIC
5 - 0
SPA
81%
14%
5%
|
56 | 80 | 24 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 1999 |
SPA
0 - 0
ALZ
72%
16%
12%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1999 |
USC
0 - 0
ATL
14%
25%
60%
|
52 | 81 | 29 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1999 |
USC
2 - 2
PIS
54%
24%
21%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1999 |
PIS
3 - 0
USC
52%
24%
24%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 1999 |
USC
0 - 1
CHI
35%
29%
37%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 1999 |
ATL
2 - 1
USC
78%
15%
7%
|
54 | 81 | 27 | 0 |