SPAL vs Cremonese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
25.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1992 |
SPA
1 - 1
ASC
44%
27%
29%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1992 |
TER
1 - 1
SPA
79%
14%
7%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1992 |
SPA
0 - 1
PIS
28%
26%
45%
|
47 | 74 | 27 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 1987 |
SPA
1 - 4
CES
36%
27%
37%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 1987 |
SPA
5 - 4
BOL
35%
28%
37%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1992 |
USC
3 - 0
PAD
58%
26%
17%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1992 |
CES
4 - 1
USC
59%
25%
16%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1992 |
PRG
2 - 0
USC
32%
31%
37%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1992 |
SAM
2 - 2
USC
79%
15%
6%
|
71 | 89 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1992 |
USC
1 - 2
ROM
21%
28%
51%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | 0 |