SPAL vs Avellino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
+3
7.9%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
17%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
17.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1977 |
ASS
1 - 0
SPA
55%
27%
18%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1977 |
SPA
1 - 0
TAR
57%
27%
17%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1977 |
TER
0 - 1
SPA
51%
27%
22%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 1977 |
SPA
1 - 1
MOD
62%
24%
14%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1977 |
BRE
0 - 0
SPA
53%
26%
21%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1977 |
AVE
1 - 0
ATL
41%
31%
28%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1977 |
PES
3 - 1
AVE
65%
24%
12%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 1977 |
AVE
2 - 1
NOV
58%
26%
16%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 1977 |
PAL
1 - 0
AVE
48%
30%
22%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 1977 |
AVE
0 - 0
LEC
35%
28%
37%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |