SPAL vs Avellino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
13%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
25.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1975 |
PRG
1 - 3
SPA
66%
23%
11%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1975 |
SPA
1 - 0
PAR
56%
27%
18%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 1975 |
GEN
1 - 0
SPA
64%
23%
13%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 1975 |
SPA
2 - 1
SSS
52%
27%
21%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 1975 |
SPA
2 - 0
TAR
55%
27%
18%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1975 |
AVE
2 - 0
USF
57%
24%
19%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1975 |
VER
0 - 2
AVE
72%
19%
9%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | +2 |
| 23 Feb. 1975 |
AVE
2 - 0
BRE
58%
24%
18%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 1975 |
TAR
0 - 0
AVE
43%
28%
28%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1975 |
GEN
1 - 1
AVE
60%
23%
17%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |