SPAL vs Udinese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
37.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
LAZ
0 - 0
SPA
83%
12%
5%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
SPA
1 - 0
REN
82%
13%
4%
|
72 | 47 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
SPA
1 - 1
CHI
38%
27%
35%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
PRG
1 - 1
SPA
38%
27%
35%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2017 |
MES
1 - 3
SPA
5%
12%
83%
|
72 | 40 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Udinese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
UDI
1 - 2
CHI
53%
25%
23%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
UDI
3 - 2
FRO
60%
22%
18%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2017 |
CEL
1 - 1
UDI
68%
20%
13%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
UDI
1 - 2
AZA
44%
24%
33%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
HAN
1 - 1
UDI
53%
25%
22%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |