SPAL vs Udinese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
20.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1954 |
ROM
3 - 0
SPA
57%
22%
20%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1954 |
SPA
1 - 0
UNI
60%
21%
19%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 1954 |
NAP
3 - 1
SPA
60%
22%
18%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 1954 |
SPA
2 - 2
INT
29%
25%
47%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1954 |
SAM
0 - 0
SPA
60%
21%
19%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Udinese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1954 |
TRI
2 - 1
UDI
54%
23%
23%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1954 |
UDI
1 - 1
NOV
56%
23%
22%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1954 |
SAM
1 - 1
UDI
63%
20%
17%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1954 |
UDI
2 - 1
ROM
51%
24%
26%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 1954 |
UDI
1 - 0
PAL
56%
22%
22%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |