SPAL vs AlbinoLeffe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
31.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
CTT
3 - 3
SPA
56%
25%
19%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
SPA
2 - 1
CAR
59%
23%
18%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
ARZ
2 - 2
SPA
45%
28%
27%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
SPA
1 - 3
TRE
36%
27%
36%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2003 |
CES
0 - 0
SPA
61%
23%
16%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
AlbinoLeffe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
ABN
1 - 1
PAD
50%
26%
25%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
ACP
2 - 1
ABN
25%
26%
49%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
ABN
2 - 1
CAR
67%
21%
13%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
ABN
2 - 4
CTT
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
PRO
1 - 0
ABN
34%
27%
39%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |