SPAL vs Trapani analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
13%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
13.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
PAR
3 - 1
SPA
74%
17%
9%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
USF
0 - 3
SPA
47%
27%
26%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +2 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
SPA
2 - 3
REA
47%
28%
25%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
REG
0 - 1
SPA
49%
26%
25%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
SPA
1 - 1
VER
40%
31%
29%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Trapani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2010 |
SPC
1 - 3
TRA
39%
26%
35%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
MES
0 - 2
TRA
63%
22%
15%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +2 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
TRA
4 - 2
ACP
73%
18%
10%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
COM
0 - 4
TRA
21%
25%
55%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
TRA
4 - 2
ASD
63%
22%
15%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |