SPAL vs Torino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
55.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
BEN
1 - 2
SPA
34%
29%
37%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
SPA
2 - 2
VER
38%
27%
35%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2017 |
ROM
3 - 1
SPA
85%
11%
4%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2017 |
SPA
0 - 2
CTT
48%
24%
28%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
CHI
2 - 1
SPA
64%
22%
15%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Torino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2017 |
ROM
1 - 2
TOR
63%
20%
17%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
TOR
1 - 3
NAP
28%
22%
49%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2017 |
LAZ
1 - 3
TOR
60%
21%
19%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
TOR
1 - 1
ATL
57%
21%
22%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2017 |
TOR
2 - 0
CAR
82%
12%
5%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |