SPAL vs Ternana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
21.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1993 |
SPA
2 - 1
VER
28%
30%
43%
|
52 | 75 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1993 |
COS
3 - 1
SPA
55%
28%
18%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1993 |
SPA
1 - 1
LEC
41%
28%
32%
|
52 | 74 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1992 |
CES
1 - 1
SPA
62%
24%
14%
|
51 | 73 | 22 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 1992 |
SPA
0 - 1
PAD
48%
28%
23%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1993 |
TER
1 - 2
USC
31%
29%
40%
|
55 | 75 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1993 |
VER
2 - 0
TER
76%
16%
8%
|
55 | 75 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1993 |
TER
2 - 2
CES
46%
28%
26%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1992 |
PIS
2 - 0
TER
68%
21%
11%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1992 |
TER
2 - 0
MOD
47%
27%
26%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | +1 |