SPAL vs Ternana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
16.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25.6%
16.5%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1979 |
SPA
3 - 2
SAM
52%
28%
20%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1979 |
PES
0 - 0
SPA
63%
24%
13%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1978 |
SPA
1 - 1
CAG
45%
30%
25%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1978 |
VAR
0 - 1
SPA
57%
27%
17%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 1978 |
SPA
1 - 1
RIM
58%
26%
16%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1979 |
TER
0 - 0
SSS
55%
28%
17%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1979 |
CAG
2 - 0
TER
73%
18%
9%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 1978 |
LEC
0 - 0
TER
51%
29%
20%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1978 |
TER
0 - 0
CES
45%
30%
25%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1978 |
TER
0 - 1
UDI
49%
29%
22%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |