SPAL vs Ternana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
15.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1969 |
SPA
3 - 1
PAD
66%
22%
11%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1969 |
ASS
1 - 1
SPA
41%
30%
29%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1969 |
MAN
1 - 1
SPA
38%
32%
30%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1969 |
SPA
0 - 0
LEC
66%
22%
12%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1969 |
PRG
1 - 1
SPA
42%
27%
31%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1969 |
TER
2 - 1
LEC
57%
24%
19%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1969 |
BAR
0 - 0
TER
62%
22%
16%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1969 |
MOD
1 - 2
TER
49%
25%
26%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1969 |
REG
2 - 0
TER
53%
26%
22%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1969 |
TER
0 - 0
REG
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |