SPAL vs Teramo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
21.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
SSS
1 - 0
SPA
47%
29%
24%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
SPA
0 - 0
BEN
52%
26%
22%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
GIU
0 - 2
SPA
40%
29%
31%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
SPA
1 - 1
USF
44%
26%
29%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
CTT
0 - 1
SPA
49%
27%
23%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Teramo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
VIR
3 - 1
TER
51%
25%
24%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
TER
0 - 0
AVE
39%
27%
35%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
CTT
0 - 1
TER
52%
25%
23%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
TER
1 - 1
NAP
26%
27%
48%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
SSS
2 - 0
TER
52%
26%
22%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |