SPAL vs Taranto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
14%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
18.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28.2%
26%
Draw
0-0
12.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
26%
14.3%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1974 |
BRI
1 - 1
SPA
47%
28%
25%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1974 |
SPA
0 - 0
ASC
42%
29%
29%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 1974 |
PAR
1 - 0
SPA
49%
29%
22%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 1974 |
SPA
0 - 0
CAT
60%
26%
14%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1974 |
PAL
2 - 2
SPA
51%
31%
19%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1974 |
PAR
1 - 1
TAR
55%
27%
18%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1974 |
TAR
0 - 0
PAL
39%
33%
28%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1974 |
ATL
1 - 0
TAR
59%
28%
14%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 1974 |
TAR
1 - 0
ARZ
44%
32%
25%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 1974 |
BRE
2 - 0
TAR
55%
27%
17%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |