SPAL vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
32%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
BEN
2 - 1
SPA
40%
31%
30%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
SPA
1 - 0
GIU
58%
25%
17%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
USF
1 - 3
SPA
55%
26%
20%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
SPA
2 - 2
CTT
46%
28%
26%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
PAD
2 - 2
SPA
58%
24%
18%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
SSS
1 - 1
CHI
51%
29%
21%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
SSS
0 - 0
NAP
30%
29%
41%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
AVE
2 - 1
SSS
53%
25%
22%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
TER
0 - 2
SSS
42%
26%
32%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
SSS
1 - 0
REG
39%
28%
33%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |