SPAL vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
18.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.8%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.1%
15.3%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1982 |
PAL
2 - 1
SPA
63%
24%
13%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1982 |
BAR
1 - 0
SPA
61%
25%
14%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 1982 |
SPA
2 - 2
LAZ
46%
29%
25%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 1982 |
REG
1 - 1
SPA
59%
26%
15%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1982 |
SPA
1 - 0
USC
57%
27%
17%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1982 |
SSS
2 - 2
SAM
38%
33%
29%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1982 |
USC
2 - 0
SSS
48%
30%
21%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 1982 |
SSS
1 - 0
PIS
44%
31%
26%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 1982 |
LAZ
1 - 1
SSS
68%
21%
11%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1982 |
PES
0 - 1
SSS
52%
29%
19%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |