SPAL vs Cavese 1919 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
20.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1982 |
VER
1 - 0
SPA
66%
23%
12%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1982 |
SPA
0 - 3
SAM
46%
29%
25%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 1982 |
PIS
1 - 1
SPA
63%
24%
14%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1982 |
SPA
2 - 2
LEC
58%
27%
16%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1982 |
PES
2 - 0
SPA
53%
29%
19%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Cavese 1919
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1982 |
CAV
0 - 1
BRE
50%
28%
23%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1982 |
CAV
0 - 0
LAZ
45%
28%
27%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1982 |
SSS
1 - 0
CAV
47%
28%
25%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1982 |
CAV
1 - 0
PRG
37%
30%
33%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1982 |
VAR
0 - 1
CAV
65%
21%
14%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |