SPAL vs Sorrento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
42.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 0
SPA
29%
27%
44%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
SPA
4 - 0
PAV
54%
26%
20%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
COM
0 - 2
SPA
45%
27%
28%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
SPA
0 - 2
ACL
50%
27%
23%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
TRI
1 - 1
SPA
26%
26%
48%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Sorrento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
SOR
1 - 0
FOL
74%
16%
10%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
BEN
1 - 0
SOR
49%
25%
26%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
SOR
2 - 1
REG
66%
20%
14%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
AVE
0 - 1
SOR
25%
25%
50%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
SOR
0 - 0
TAR
59%
24%
18%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |