SPAL vs Sora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
17.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2004 |
SPA
0 - 1
SPE
45%
27%
29%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
PAV
3 - 2
SPA
35%
29%
36%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
SPA
1 - 0
CES
41%
28%
31%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
PIS
0 - 0
SPA
45%
29%
27%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
SPA
4 - 0
PRO
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Sora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2004 |
LAQ
0 - 1
SOR
30%
27%
42%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
SOR
2 - 1
VIS
46%
29%
25%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
PAT
2 - 0
SOR
42%
26%
32%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
SOR
1 - 1
CHI
35%
30%
36%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
TER
3 - 2
SOR
61%
21%
17%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |