SPAL vs Siracusa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.8%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
12.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1951 |
VNZ
0 - 1
SPA
33%
23%
45%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1951 |
BAR
0 - 0
SPA
26%
23%
51%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1951 |
SPA
0 - 0
MOD
66%
18%
16%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1951 |
VIC
3 - 0
SPA
38%
22%
40%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 1951 |
SPA
4 - 1
USC
80%
13%
8%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Siracusa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1951 |
SIR
1 - 0
PIS
70%
16%
13%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1951 |
SIR
3 - 0
TRE
64%
18%
18%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1951 |
LIV
5 - 1
SIR
59%
21%
20%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1951 |
REG
1 - 0
SIR
62%
20%
19%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 1951 |
SIR
2 - 0
CAT
68%
17%
15%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |