SPAL vs Seregno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.5%
Win probability
3.17
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.7%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
11%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11%
6.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1951 |
SPA
3 - 0
PIS
79%
13%
8%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1951 |
VER
1 - 4
SPA
41%
22%
37%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1951 |
SPA
3 - 0
REG
68%
17%
15%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1951 |
SPA
3 - 1
MES
75%
15%
11%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1951 |
SPA
2 - 1
SAL
75%
14%
10%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Seregno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1951 |
SER
0 - 1
SAL
43%
26%
31%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1951 |
MES
1 - 0
SER
81%
11%
8%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1951 |
CAT
2 - 0
SER
76%
14%
10%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 1951 |
SER
2 - 1
BAR
42%
23%
35%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | +2 |
| 21 Jan. 1951 |
BRE
2 - 0
SER
75%
15%
10%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | -1 |