SPAL vs Santarcangelo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
14.1%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
PIS
2 - 1
SPA
40%
29%
31%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
SPA
4 - 0
SAV
70%
19%
11%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 2
SPA
33%
28%
39%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
SPA
1 - 4
MAC
55%
26%
19%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -2 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
CTT
2 - 1
SPA
56%
23%
21%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Santarcangelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
4 - 1
TUT
52%
26%
22%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
LRO
0 - 0
SAN
28%
27%
45%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 2
ANC
31%
28%
41%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 0
LAQ
40%
28%
32%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
ASL
1 - 1
SAN
44%
28%
28%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -2 |