SPAL vs San Marino Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
23.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
ASL
2 - 0
SPA
56%
25%
19%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
SPA
0 - 2
COM
34%
27%
39%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
ASC
2 - 1
SPA
70%
19%
12%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
SPA
1 - 0
ASG
28%
27%
45%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2015 |
SPA
2 - 0
BV5
27%
25%
48%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
San Marino Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
SAN
3 - 2
LAQ
29%
28%
43%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
SAN
3 - 1
SAN
39%
28%
34%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 3
ASC
29%
27%
44%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
CAR
0 - 0
SAN
65%
21%
14%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
SAN
3 - 0
PON
26%
26%
48%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | +2 |