SPAL vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
39.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1961 |
JUV
1 - 0
SPA
88%
8%
4%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1961 |
SPA
2 - 1
ATL
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 1961 |
PAD
1 - 1
SPA
68%
18%
15%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1961 |
TOR
3 - 2
SPA
51%
23%
25%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 1961 |
ACM
4 - 0
SPA
82%
11%
7%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1961 |
ROM
2 - 1
TOR
75%
15%
10%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1961 |
UDI
2 - 1
ROM
34%
26%
40%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 1961 |
ROM
0 - 2
KOL
86%
9%
6%
|
81 | 18 | 63 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1961 |
ROM
1 - 0
BAR
77%
14%
9%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1961 |
ROM
1 - 3
FIO
47%
23%
30%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |