SPAL vs Rimini analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
8.9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
DEL
1 - 0
SPA
27%
25%
48%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
SPA
1 - 0
SAN
62%
22%
16%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
ASD
0 - 3
SPA
16%
20%
63%
|
40 | 18 | 22 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
SPA
3 - 2
USA
66%
20%
14%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
SPA
1 - 2
FCC
81%
13%
6%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Rimini
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
RIM
1 - 1
MAN
40%
25%
34%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
PER
1 - 0
RIM
45%
26%
29%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
RIM
0 - 0
USA
40%
26%
34%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
VIN
0 - 1
RIM
22%
24%
55%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
RIM
1 - 2
ASS
32%
26%
42%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | -2 |