SPAL vs Rimini analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
40.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+85%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2009 |
SPA
3 - 4
BV5
68%
20%
12%
|
57 | 32 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
ASA
0 - 0
SPA
15%
24%
62%
|
57 | 34 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
SPA
1 - 1
POT
64%
23%
13%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
TAR
1 - 2
SPA
37%
28%
35%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
CAV
2 - 2
SPA
49%
26%
26%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Rimini
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2009 |
RIM
2 - 0
GIU
80%
15%
6%
|
65 | 40 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
RIM
2 - 3
POR
61%
22%
17%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
RIM
1 - 0
CAV
61%
23%
16%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
PES
2 - 0
RIM
11%
23%
66%
|
66 | 37 | 29 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
RIM
2 - 1
ASA
79%
15%
6%
|
66 | 33 | 33 | 0 |