SPAL vs Rende analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
10.1%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2015 |
REG
0 - 2
SPA
54%
25%
21%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
SPA
1 - 1
PIS
62%
22%
16%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 2
SPA
43%
27%
30%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
SPA
3 - 1
TUT
59%
24%
18%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2015 |
PIS
0 - 1
SPA
58%
25%
16%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Rende
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2015 |
TAR
1 - 0
REN
67%
21%
13%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
REN
0 - 0
AGR
43%
26%
31%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -2 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
REN
1 - 1
AKR
28%
25%
47%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
DTO
0 - 0
REN
29%
27%
44%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
REN
3 - 0
LEO
51%
25%
25%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |