SPAL vs Renate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
11.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
VIN
0 - 1
SPA
17%
23%
61%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
SPA
2 - 2
MAN
76%
15%
8%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
VIR
1 - 2
SPA
28%
26%
47%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
SPA
2 - 1
PER
63%
22%
16%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
SPA
3 - 2
REA
61%
20%
19%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Renate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
ASS
1 - 2
REN
71%
18%
11%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
REN
1 - 1
BV5
37%
26%
37%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
PER
0 - 1
REN
55%
24%
22%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +2 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
REN
0 - 2
DEL
59%
21%
20%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -2 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
VIR
2 - 1
REN
40%
26%
34%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -1 |