SPAL vs Reggina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
23.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1969 |
SPA
1 - 1
GEN
55%
26%
19%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1969 |
BAR
2 - 1
SPA
57%
26%
18%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1969 |
USF
0 - 0
SPA
56%
26%
18%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1969 |
SPA
1 - 2
LAZ
55%
27%
18%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1969 |
REG
2 - 1
SPA
51%
29%
21%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Reggina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1969 |
REG
0 - 0
FCC
58%
26%
16%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1969 |
REG
3 - 1
MAN
50%
30%
21%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1969 |
LIV
1 - 0
REG
39%
29%
32%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1969 |
COM
1 - 1
REG
40%
28%
32%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1969 |
REG
1 - 0
LEC
58%
27%
16%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |