SPAL vs Pro Patria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
22.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1954 |
SPA
1 - 3
FIO
40%
27%
33%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1954 |
TOR
1 - 0
SPA
62%
21%
17%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1954 |
SPA
2 - 1
NOV
52%
24%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1954 |
GEN
1 - 1
SPA
52%
24%
24%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1954 |
INT
1 - 0
SPA
83%
11%
6%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1954 |
PRO
1 - 0
SAM
46%
25%
29%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1954 |
PRO
1 - 2
ATL
42%
25%
33%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1954 |
INT
2 - 0
PRO
82%
11%
6%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1954 |
PRO
1 - 1
ROM
44%
25%
31%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1954 |
TRI
1 - 0
PRO
57%
22%
22%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |